The Comox Valley real estate market in 2025 is setting the stage for a year of calculated moves. With mortgage rates holding steady at 4.5% to 4.75%, housing prices forecasted to rise modestly by 3.3% (BCREA forecast) and new policies shaping the landscape, it’s time for buyers and sellers to bring their A-game.

Interest Rates: Stability, Finally? After a few years of fluctuating rates, stability is here—or so we think. While fixed rates hovering around 4.5% provide a sense of predictability, any surprises from an anticipated federal election could change the narrative. Policy tweaks or incentives aimed at affordability might spark new activity or add an extra layer of uncertainty.

BC Policy Changes: Airbnb and Tenancy Rules BC’s tougher Airbnb regulations mean short-term rental properties could lose some luster, pushing more investors toward long-term rentals?  Combine this with recent updates to the BC Tenancy Act, and we could see landlords rethink their approach—or even step back altogether. These shifts could open doors for owner-occupiers but tighten the rental market further.

Population Trends: The Elephant in the Room More people are leaving BC than moving in, which could temper demand in some areas. However, the Comox Valley’s appeal to retirees, remote workers, and lifestyle-driven buyers keeps it resilient. Local amenities, natural beauty, and community appeal continue to draw people in.

Remote Work and Lifestyle Preferences Remote work trends are boosting demand for homes with offices and outdoor spaces. The flexibility to live and work anywhere is encouraging buyers to prioritize lifestyle, making Comox Valley a top destination.

Climate Adaptation and Resiliency Flood zones, fire risks, and rising insurance premiums are shaping buyer preferences. Homes with eco-friendly upgrades, climate-resilient features, and safer locations are commanding attention. Sellers, addressing these concerns before listing could provide an edge.

Stock Market vs. Real Estate With the stock market facing volatility, many investors are turning to real estate as a more stable option. Tangible assets like homes and rentals offer security and long-term value, even amid economic uncertainty.

What It Means for Buyers and Sellers Buyers: With investors stepping back and competition easing, 2025 could be your year to secure a long-term home. But don’t wait too long—supply isn’t infinite, and lifestyle properties will still command attention.

Sellers: Today’s buyers are selective. A polished, realistically priced home will still attract strong offers, especially in sought-after segments like single-family homes and rural escapes.

2025 is shaping up to be a year of thoughtful decisions, where preparation and strategy will define success.

Happy to chat anytime! 

Philippa Berg

2025: A Year for Bold, Strategic Real Estate Moves

Forget what you thought you knew about real estate. The Comox Valley market in 2025 isn’t about waiting for the stars to align—it’s about making your own moves. With mortgage rates finally settling between 4.5% and 4.75%, housing prices “predicted”- (I use that term loosely)  to rise modestly by 3.3%, and policy changes reshaping priorities, this is the year to act decisively. But let’s be real—no one has a crystal ball. Strategic decisions, informed by trends and local dynamics, will separate the winners from the rest.

Mortgage Rates: Stability with a Side of Suspense

2025 brings a welcome sigh of relief as mortgage rates hold steady at 4.5% to 4.75%. For buyers, this stability means predictability, offering the confidence to plan and act without the shadow of fluctuating costs. Sellers also benefit as steady rates encourage more buyers to step off the sidelines. But here’s the twist—federal election drama might stir the pot, with affordability measures or tax incentives shaking up the market mid-year. Stay nimble.

Policy Shifts: Airbnb and the Investor Equation

The party’s over for speculative investors relying on short-term rental income. BC’s stricter Airbnb rules and updates to the Tenancy Act have reshuffled the deck. The focus is shifting to owner-occupiers and long-term rental investors. For sellers, this means one thing: properties that were once Airbnb cash cows may need a new story to attract lifestyle-focused buyers.

Comox Valley’s Draw: A Magnet for Lifestyle Seekers

Even as BC sees a slowdown in net migration, the Comox Valley continues to shine as a haven for retirees, remote workers, and families seeking a perfect balance of affordability, nature, and community. Buyers want flexibility—think home offices, multi-use spaces, and properties that cater to a work-life blend. Sellers, here’s your edge: market your home as a lifestyle, not just a structure.

Infrastructure: The Quiet Game-Changer

New schools, active transportation paths, and improved community hubs are quietly transforming the Comox Valley. Projects like the Cumberland-Courtenay Connector and enhancements to Royston Road are creating safer, more connected neighborhoods, while new schools and community centers cater to growing populations. For buyers, this means long-term value in areas benefiting from these developments. For sellers, proximity to these upgrades is more than a convenience—it’s a marketable feature that can elevate your property’s appeal. Infrastructure isn’t just a background factor; it’s a driving force behind rising property values and a crucial consideration for anyone navigating the 2025 market.

For Buyers:

• Think Beyond Today: Look for properties with secondary suites or rental potential in areas set for growth.

• Leverage Stability: Use steady rates to lock in favorable terms and focus on equity growth.

• Follow the Demographics: Homes designed for retirees and remote workers are highly competitive—find those niches.

For Sellers:

• Polish the Product: Buyers are selective in 2025. Presentation matters—invest in staging, curb appeal, and small upgrades.

• Tell a Story: Highlight features that resonate with today’s buyers, like outdoor living spaces or proximity to local amenities.

• Price with Precision: The days of testing the market with inflated pricing are over. Smart pricing gets results.

2025: Why This Year is Different

2025 isn’t a year of wild swings—it’s a year of quiet, meaningful shifts that will reward those paying attention. From Airbnb rule changes to infrastructure-led growth, the Comox Valley real estate market is ready for buyers and sellers who can see beyond the surface. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, a seasoned investor, or someone planning to sell, strategy and preparation will be the keys to success and of course working with an experienced Realtor® like yours truly. 

Forget the obvious—2025’s market is being steered by forces most people aren’t talking about. When it comes to the 2025 Comox Valley real estate market, the forces driving change aren’t always in plain sight. Sure, mortgage rates and modest price growth dominate headlines, but what about the undercurrents shaping buyer and seller decisions? Let’s dive into the real story.

Remote Work’s Long Shadow
Remote work has transformed housing demand, and the Comox Valley is a prime beneficiary. Lifestyle properties with home office potential and outdoor amenities are highly sought after. Buyers are seeking more than square footage—they’re looking for a new way of living.

Regional Upgrades: The Quiet Game-Changer
Community investments—whether it’s infrastructure projects or new amenities—quietly drive up property values. Areas benefiting from better connectivity or enhanced quality of life are on the rise.

Airbnb’s Ripple Effect
Stricter regulations have pushed investors to reconsider short-term rentals. The result? More properties entering the long-term rental or sales market. For buyers, this means opportunities to snag homes that were previously off-limits.

Election-Year Jitters
Every election brings potential policy shifts, and 2025 is no different. From housing affordability measures to tax incentives, buyers and sellers need to stay nimble and informed.

Generational Waves
From downsizing Boomers to ambitious Millennials, demographic shifts are creating unique opportunities—and challenges. Sellers who know their audience will have the upper hand.

Real Estate: A Lifestyle Decision
The Comox Valley’s appeal isn’t just about houses—it’s about the life you can build here. Ocean views, vibrant communities, and flexible spaces are top of mind for today’s buyers.

What This Means for You

• Buyers: Get strategic. Focus on properties with long-term potential in areas poised for growth. Think secondary suites, emerging neighborhoods, and homes that align with your lifestyle goals.

• Sellers: Presentation is everything. Highlight your home’s unique features and lifestyle appeal, from flexible spaces to proximity to new amenities.

In 2025, it’s the hidden forces that will define success. Whether you’re buying or selling, understanding the dynamics below the surface will help you navigate this complex market with confidence.   

With 20 years in Real estate under my belt this April 2025 I have the experience, confidence and insight to share with you.